By Zain Shauk
and Dan Murtaugh
The U.S. could allow about
750,000 barrels a day of light crude oil to be exported, based on a new
government stance defining what qualifies for overseas shipments.
Producers, refiners and
pipeline companies are questioning exactly how much the Obama administration
has relaxed its position on crude exports after the Commerce Department said
June 24 it had categorized some lightly processed oil as exportable. The U.S.
has prohibited most crude exports for four decades.
About 750,000 barrels a day of
oil produced from U.S. shale plays is an ultra-light variety known as
condensate, said Michael Wojciechowski, head of Americas downstream research
for Wood Mackenzie Ltd. More than 70 percent of U.S. condensate comes from the
Eagle Ford shale formation in Texas, where
the majority of it goes through a heating process to burn off certain gases,
Amrita Sen, chief oil economist for Energy Aspects Ltd. in London, said
by phone.
The Commerce Department gave
permission for condensates to be exported after going through the process,
known as stabilizing, because then it can be considered a refined product.
Though most raw crude oil exports are banned, refined products can be shipped
abroad without limits.
Stabilizers at oil fields along the U.S. Gulf Coast may have a
combined capacity of more than 200,000 barrels a day, according to Eric Lee, a
commodities strategist for Citi Research.
August Exports?
“Processed condensate exports
could begin as early as August,” Lee said in a research note. The U.S. could
export 300,000 barrels of condensate per day by the end of the year, according
to another Citi note.
Oil producers and refiners were
unsure whether other types of crude might also qualify. Far more crude might be
eligible for overseas shipments if any type of stabilized oil can qualify as a
refined product, since the practice is widespread in the industry, said Charles
Blanchard, an analyst for Bloomberg New Energy Finance.
West Texas Intermediate rose as
much as 1.4 percent yesterday before paring gains to settle 0.4 percent higher
at $106.50 a barrel. WTI for August delivery was up 19 cents at $106.69 on theNew
York Mercantile Exchange at
12:30 p.m. Singapore time today.
Oil producer BHP Billiton Ltd. said it welcomed the approval of
condensate exports “under limited circumstances. BHP Billiton will consider
marketing opportunities that may apply to our condensate production in the
Eagle Ford and Permian Basin,” Jaryl Strong, a BHP spokesman, said in an
emailed statement.
Additional
Markets
As the industry figures out how
to define the new rule, “that’ll really help companies on the downstream side
better understand business opportunities and business impacts,” Dean Acosta, a
spokesman for refiner Phillips
66 (PSX), said by phone.
Producers are keen to find
additional markets for crude as output from U.S. shale formations has surged,
causing bottlenecks in some regions. Refiners that have benefited from access
to oil at prices below the international benchmark saw their shares drop
yesterday after the Commerce Department change was announced.
The U.S. produced almost 8.4
million barrels a day in May and annual output is forecast to
reach 9.3 million barrels a day in 2015, the highest since 1972, according to
the Energy Information Administration.
Simple
Equipment
More than 80 percent of the
Eagle Ford’s output goes through stabilizers, Energy Aspects’ Sen said.Pioneer
Natural Resources Co. (PXD), one of the companies that
asked the government for permission to export stabilized condensate, said this
week that a large portion of its 43,000 barrels a day of Eagle Ford production
is condensate that already undergoes the processing.
Stabilizers are relatively
simple pieces of oilfield equipment sometimes positioned near wellheads. They
heat oil enough to boil off some gases, separating those products from the rest
of the crude mix, Blanchard said.
“A caveman could do it,”
Blanchard said, comparing the process to heating oil in an oven.
The process is commonly
performed before putting oil and condensate into pipelines. Stabilizing oil is
far less complex than the process of splitting or refining crude, which involve
more sophisticated devices that heat and separate fuels from oil. Stabilizers
that qualify crude for export can cost as little as one-tenth that of more
complex processing units, said Wojciechowski at Wood Mackenzie.
Culled from http://www.bloomberg.com/
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